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You are here | > Home > Conferences > EcoMod2001 > Program |
Organizers
European Commission
Applied Econometrics Association
Free University of Brussels
Main Sponsors
European Commission
Hendyplan
Brussels Grand Place
Information for visitors
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75th International Conference Brussels, Hotel Le Meridien, July 5-7, 2001
PROGRAM
The sessions will take place in the following rooms: Plenary session: Room Sambal (A+B), downstairs Session 1: Room Tamarin (B), downstairs Session 2: Room Trassi (A), downstairs Session 3: Room Massala, first floor THURSDAY, July 5 8:00 – 8:45 Registration 8:45 – 9:00 Welcome and Opening Session Ali Bayar, Free University of Brussels and EcoMod André Dramais, European Commission 9:00 – 10:30 Plenary Session I Macroeconometric and CGE Modeling Chair: Victor Ginsburgh, Free University of Brussels Ray Barrell, National Institute for Economic and Social Research Macro Models and the Medium Term. The NIESR experience with NiGEM Sherman Robinson, IFPRI Ongoing issues of integrating macro models and CGE models 10:30 – 11:00 Coffee Break 11:00 – 12:30 Parallel Sessions Session 1: Dynamic Models Chair: Motaz Khorshid Nathalie Bolh Optimal fiscal policy in an overlapping generations model with heterogeneous agents M. Bratti, A. Bucci, and E. Moretti Demographic variables, human capital accumulation and economic growth: theory and evidence (especially from the Mediterranean Countries) Philippe Liégeois, Frédéric Docquier, and Claire Loupias The consequences of demographic changes on the French economy Session 2: Fiscal Policy in the EU Chair: Robert Plasman Christophe Kamps Fiscal consolidation in Europe: pre- and post-Maastricht Gabriella Legrenzi and Costas Milas Non linear and asymmetric adjustment in the local revenue-expenditure models: some evidence from the Italian municipalities Carlos Martinez Fiscal Policy and the Size of Governments Ali Bayar and Paul de Boer “Excessive deficits” in the European Union: entry and exit dynamics 12:30 – 14:30: Lunch – Hotel le Meridien 14:30 – 16:00: Parallel Sessions Session 1: Trade Chair: Carlos Martinez Can Erbil Trade taxes are better? Rim Chatti An AGE assessment of FTA between Tunisia and EU under oligopolistic market structures Michael Gasiorek and Patricia Augier Liberalising trade between the EU and the Southern Mediterranean - an analysis of the sectoral impact Session 2: Business Cycles and ForecastingChair: Francis Bossier Fernando C. Ballabriga and Sonsoles Castillo BBVA-ARIES: a forecasting and simulation model for the EMU economy Joerg Breitung and Bertrand Candelon Common cycles: a frequency domain approach Manuel Martins Trend and cycle in the EURO area: new tests and estimates from an unobserved components model Peter Grasmann and Filip Keereman An indicator-based short-term forecast for quarterly GDP in the euro area Session 3: TradeChair: Khalid Sekkat Rodolfo Helg and Giovanni BrunoAnna Falzoni Measuring the effect of globalisation on labour demand elasticity: an empirical application to OECD countries Hassan Kalbasi The gravity model and global trade flows Dominique Simonis
16:00 – 16:30: Coffee Break 16:30 – 18:00: Parallel Sessions Session 1: Monetary and Fiscal Policy Modeling Chair: André Dramais Jerome Creel Strategic Interactions between Monetary and Fiscal Policies: a case study for the European Stability Pact Javier J. Pérez and Paul Hiebert Forecast-error-based fiscal policy rules for macroeconomic models Tomasz Piskorski Welfare aggregation of the heterogeneous agents and the effectiveness of the central bank stabilization policies in the Monetary Union
Ismael Sanz and Francisco J. Velázquez The evolution and convergence of the government expenditure composition in the OECD countries: an analysis of the functional distribution Session 2: EU Enlargement Chair: Filip Keereman Vincent Aussilloux and Michaël Pajot Trade consequences of European Union enlargement Dominique Simonis and Ali Bayar The impact of Eastern enlargement of the EU: the case of Belgium Carlo Altomonte and Claudia Guagliano Competing locations? Market potential and FDI in Central and Eastern Europe vs the Mediterranean Session 3: Integrated General Equilibrium ModelsChair: Bertrand Candelon Sherman Robinson Integrating CGE and microsimulation models Motaz Khorshid An issue-oriented macro-micro prototype economic model for a Gulf Cooperation Council country Ali Bayar and Ghazi Ben-Ahmed MenaMod: An integrated database and dynamic modeling framework for the Middle-East and North Africa. 18:00 – 18:30: Software Demonstration Session (Room: Trassi) François Libeau and Tanguy Deschuyteneer, Hendyplan
9:00 – 10:30: Plenary Session II Macroeconometric Modeling for Policy Chair: André Dramais, European Commission Pete Richardson,OECD Kenneth F. Wallis, University of Warwick Recent developments in macroeconometric modelling for policy analysis 10:30 – 11:00: Coffee Break 11:00 – 12:30: Parallel Sessions Session 1: Environmental PolicyChair: Rob Dellink Oscar Bajo-Rubio and Antonio Gomez-Plana Reducing social contributions on unskilled labour as a way of fighting unemployment: an empirical evaluation for the case of Spain Knud J. Munk Administrative costs and the "double dividend" Karl Steininger Environmentally counterproductive support measures: a CGE analysis for Austria Ayse Uyduranoglu Optimal pricing for car and train users Session 2: Monetary and Fiscal Policies Chair: Paul Hiebert Jerome Creel and J.-P. Fitoussi Unemployment in OECD-countries: does economic policy matter? Herman Bennett and Norman Loayza Policy biases under lack of coordination Marie Podevin. Forecasting accuracy and the Lucas critique: evidence from the Fisherian effect Session 3: Integration and GrowthChair: Bernd Lucke L. Achy and J. Milgram Does a free trade area favour an optimum currency area? The case of Morocco and the European Union Maria Giovanna Bosco Integration, technological transfer and intellectual property rights: an empirical application to the MENA countries Jean-Louis Guerin and and Amina Lahrèche-Révil Exchange rate stability and growth 12:30 – 14:30: Lunch – Hotel le Meridien 14:30 – 16:00: Parallel Sessions Session 1: Agriculture and EU EnlargementChair: Dominique Simonis Martin Banse Does the CAP matter? Macro-economic implications of EU-accession in central European countries. Laurent Cretegny The agricultural policy reform in Switzerland: an assessment of the agriculture multi-functionality Emmanuelle Chevassus-Lozza and Manuela Unguru The EU enlargement to the CEECs: impacts on agri-food trade with third countries Session 2: Middle East and North AfricaChair: Rim Chatti Motaz Khorshid An issue-oriented computer-based economy wide decision support system "an application in the Kuwaiti economy" Nabil Annabi and Rajhi Taouf Dynamic of the trade liberalization: an intertemporal CGEM applied to Tunisia Bernd Lucke Fiscal impact of trade liberalization: the case of Syria
Session 3: Monetary EconomicsChair: Piet Lesuis Yunus Aksoy and Tomasz Piskorski Foreign holdings of dollars and information value of US monetary aggregates Robert Tchaidze Estimating Taylor rules in a real time setting Agnès d'Artigues and Thierry Vignolo
16:00 – 16:30: Coffee Break 16:30 – 18:00: Poster Session (Room: Sambal, downstairs) Nabil Annabi Vincent Aussilloux and Michaël Pajot Is Nafta discriminatory against European exports to Mexico? Denis Beninger and François Laisney Thierry Bréchet Mohammed Chatter Nurhan Davutyan Reducing bureaucratic waste: the case of Turkish Public Personnel Language Exam Fanie Gagiano M. Ozgur Kayalica and Olgay Kayalica Mette Gortz and Merete Konnerup
Gabriella Legrenzi The “displacement effect” in the growth of the Italian general government expenditure. Joffrey Malek Mansour Globalisation and labour markets: new insights from an AGE perspective Maja Micevska Economic disruption, Malthusian fertility, and economic growth Dundar Murat Demiroz Co-dependent volatility patterns in daily foreign exchange and interest rates: a case study of Turkey Urmas Varblane and Kristina Toming Trade political impact for the Estonian economy on joining the European Union Juan Vicente-Perdiz Global modelling and inequality SATURDAY, July 7 9:00 – 10:30: Parallel Sessions Session 1: EnvironmentChair: Karl Steininger Rob Dellink Dynamic modelling of pollution abatement in a CGE framework M. Ozgur Kayalica and Sajal Lahiri Strategic environmental policies in the presence of foreign direct investment Claudia Kemfert International Kyoto mechanisms and equity Peter Russ Dynamic carbon emission permit prices and emission trade
Session 2: Money Demand Chair: Tomasz Piskorski |
